Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 9.781985e-05 0.000113 0.000130 0.000148 0.000168 0.000189 0.000213
2025-04-27 6.958810e-05 0.000092 0.000117 0.000147 0.000181 0.000219 0.000264
2025-05-04 5.215978e-05 0.000077 0.000106 0.000143 0.000188 0.000239 0.000300
2025-05-11 4.299440e-05 0.000070 0.000103 0.000147 0.000201 0.000264 0.000343
2025-05-18 3.450147e-05 0.000062 0.000098 0.000146 0.000208 0.000282 0.000376
2025-05-25 2.821316e-05 0.000055 0.000093 0.000147 0.000216 0.000301 0.000409
2025-06-01 2.576917e-05 0.000054 0.000096 0.000155 0.000234 0.000332 0.000458
2025-06-08 2.213784e-05 0.000051 0.000095 0.000159 0.000245 0.000354 0.000495
2025-06-15 1.947654e-05 0.000049 0.000094 0.000163 0.000258 0.000378 0.000535
2025-06-22 1.680352e-05 0.000046 0.000093 0.000166 0.000268 0.000398 0.000572
2025-06-29 1.294486e-05 0.000040 0.000087 0.000161 0.000267 0.000405 0.000590
2025-07-06 9.402091e-06 0.000034 0.000079 0.000154 0.000263 0.000407 0.000602
2025-07-13 7.191296e-06 0.000030 0.000075 0.000152 0.000266 0.000418 0.000626
2025-07-20 5.438910e-06 0.000027 0.000072 0.000150 0.000269 0.000430 0.000652
2025-07-27 3.857719e-06 0.000024 0.000068 0.000147 0.000270 0.000438 0.000672
2025-08-03 3.191669e-06 0.000023 0.000067 0.000151 0.000280 0.000459 0.000710
2025-08-10 2.331412e-06 0.000020 0.000065 0.000150 0.000285 0.000472 0.000736
2025-08-17 1.712329e-06 0.000019 0.000063 0.000150 0.000290 0.000487 0.000766
2025-08-24 1.647757e-06 0.000019 0.000066 0.000159 0.000309 0.000520 0.000819
2025-08-31 1.309959e-06 0.000018 0.000066 0.000162 0.000319 0.000541 0.000857
2025-09-07 1.088836e-06 0.000018 0.000067 0.000167 0.000331 0.000565 0.000900
2025-09-14 8.385774e-07 0.000017 0.000067 0.000170 0.000341 0.000586 0.000937
2025-09-21 4.365804e-07 0.000015 0.000063 0.000165 0.000338 0.000589 0.000951